Fangraphs first 2020 standings has Nats in first in NL East at 87 1/2 wins; Nats got an A- for their offseason from Bowden!


As the offseason for the Washington Nationals officially ends at midnight tomorrow, the pre-season begins as pitchers and catchers officially report to the Spring Training facility at the FITTEAM Ballpark of the Palm Beaches in West Palm Beach, Florida. Sure, additional roster moves will be made, and there could be some other personnel moves that could impact the rosters. Fangraphs has released their first standings projections for 2020 and the Nats are fractionally ahead of the Mets even though they are slightly behind the Mets in team WAR (+44.0 to +43.4). The computative reasoning is because Fangraphs uses averaged “run differential” to determine the standings. Also, the final grade from former general manager Jim Bowden writing in The Athletic was an A- for the Nats offseason grade as Bowden analyzed each team’s roster moves. Not too shabby when you consider the Nats are still at a +43.4 in Fangraphs with a .540 winning percentage as that is 87 ½ wins with  4.93 runs scored per game and  4.53 runs against. Are those wins enough to get the Nationals back to the postseason is the million dollar question. Continue reading

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The Mookie Betts blueprint for a trade!

Photo by: Greg Fiume/Getty Images

When a trade falls apart and twenty-eight other competitors see your blueprint in bold ink, a general manager from another team could step up to the plate and propose a deal of their own. How could you acquire Mookie Betts and get the Red Sox more than Alex Verdugo and Brusdar Graterol while getting their CBT cap in order? The cash part of the deal is certainly complicated as is including David Price in the Betts deal. What would a smart GM do if he was one of those top teams looking to give his team a better chance to win it all? Here’s the issue — best teams on paper usually do not win it all. Injuries happen, players improve, players get worse, players perform better and players under-perform. Just because a team gets Mookie Betts does not guarantee a World Series championship. Continue reading

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Analyzing the groups in West Palm Beach and the 1-0 W-factor!

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T -minus 1 week for #Nats Spring Training camp to officially open!

Early camp on the backfields of FITTEAM in West Palm Beach; photo by Andy Ward for TalkNats

As the clock ticks towards the opening of Spring Training camp, the rumors just will not go away about the Nats attached to a marquee player. Once again Bob Nightengale is tweeting about a Kris Bryant trade and mentioned the Washington Nationals. The same people who were so wrong about the Nats and Josh Donaldson are at it again. If you believe there is a chance because there is a need, then look around because Fangraphs believes the Nationals greatest needs were at other position where the Nats are the weakest at first base (7th worst) and catcher (6th worst). Maybe the Nats should have been trying to get Brandon Belt (+2.0 WAR) in a trade with the Giants and Yasmani Grandal  (+4.9 WAR) in free agency.  Continue reading

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Highlights from Bob Davids Chapter SABR Day, February 1, 2020

The annual SABR day for the largest chapter of SABR (Society for American Baseball Research) had the usual array of interesting speakers. Some of their research is available on-line, so if you have a particular interest and can’t find the material, post a note below and I’ll see if I can find it. Continue reading

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Davey Martinez is back to work; Final prep for West Palm Beach!

Photo by Marlene Koenig for TalkNats

We are one week and two days away from the official opening of the 2020 Spring Training camp. The offseason ends and the preseason begins. There should not be many unknowns on who makes the roster, but it will be an ongoing topic as always during Spring Training. Manager Dave Martinez of the Washington Nationals and his coaching staff will put the final touches on their plans. During the disappointing 2018 Spring Training, Martinez had camels on-site. For 2019, it was more subdued. How will the 2020 camp at the FITTEAM Ballpark at the Palm Beaches be this year? Few clues have been given. Continue reading

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Coming off a 59-103 season and Strasburg in Viera, there was hope 10 years ago!

How did you feel about the Washington Nationals ten years ago? The team assembling for Spring Training in Viera, Florida was coming off of a 59-103 season. We got our first glimpse of Stephen Strasburg who was in camp, and we all knew that if Bryce Harper qualified for the draft as a seventeen year old phenom, he would be the Nats choice in the 2010 draft with the No. 1 pick. The key free agent signing that offseason was on January 6th when closer Matt Capps was signed and quickly traded for Wilson Ramos months later.  A year earlier general manager Jim Bowden resigned after Smiley-gate, and Mike Rizzo took the helm. He had already traded Ryan Langerhans for Mike Morse during the 2009 season, and you could see the makings for the 2012 roster coming together. Hope springs eternal. Continue reading

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Nats News & Notes | It’s February — Spring Training! Non-Roster Invitees, Awards, Standings Projections and more!

Where will the 2019 World Series champs signage go?

We are just 11 days until Spring Training camp officially opens in West Palm Beach. Several players are moving into their Palm Beach County rental homes on two-month leases. The weather today at the FITTEAM Ballpark of the Palm Beaches is 74°F with rain, and better weather is expected for the Super Bowl tomorrow just an hour down the road in Miami. That is another reason for players to arrive early so they can attend the events. Speaking of championship games, the Nats should be adding “2019 World Series champion” signage to their side of the facility like the Astros have for their 2017 “tainted” win in multiple signage. Continue reading

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Zim isn’t ready to be cast for his statue just yet….

Photo by Brad Mills of USA Today Sports

When you’re a free agent, you can do some of those things you always wanted to do like spending a day as a fighter pilot. For 15 years, Ryan Zimmerman never engaged in dangerous activities because that would have violated the terms of his player’s contract if he suited up on the ice for the Washington Capitals like he did recently. Zim is the original Face of the Franchise, and he earned it as a star player, leader, philanthropist, and family man. He is now a World Series champion who could have gone out on top, but he still believes he has game left in his body that has been riddled by multiple injuries. He will return for his sixteenth season.  Continue reading

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Nats trade for Harper seems like a shocking headline; Nats acquire Ryne Harper from the Twins!


When you hear the name Harper in baseball and Washington, you immediately think of the guy who now plays for the Phillies, and now that name will be attached to the newly acquired right-hander Ryne Harper who was acquired from the Twins for minor leaguer Hunter McMahon. Continue reading

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