Category Archives: Analysis

The Nats’ Starting Pitcher Conundrum

Posted on October 9, 2024 by Drew Scott

The Washington Nationals finished 2024 with some surprise reinforcements at Starting Pitcher. Going into 2024, the Nats were reasonably sure MacKenzie Gore, Jake Irvin and Josiah Gray were going to be a part of the rotation going forward. They had … Continue reading →

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2025 Draft Lottery Odds

Posted on October 8, 2024 by DonH

Another year; another MLB Draft Lottery. Just as we did for the 2023 and 2024 lotteries, a million simulations were run to see the probabilities for all the picks and not just the first pick.

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The free agents who can move the WAR up!

Posted on October 5, 2024 by Andrew Lang

Obviously, Juan Soto‘s +8.1 WAR would be a big plus if the Washington Nationals acquired him. He would almost transform the team from 71-wins to 80-wins by himself. The Nationals purged a lot of “addition by subtraction” off of the … Continue reading →

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The balance of defense and offense on the Nats’ roster

Posted on October 4, 2024 by Stephen G. "Ghost" Mears

As we discussed a few days ago, if the Washington Nationals pitched to their Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) as their ERA, they would be in the postseason. That did not happen, so let’s talk reality. What we know is that WAR and … Continue reading →

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Offseason payroll is set with new Arb estimates

Posted on October 3, 2024 by Andrew Lang

The Washington Nationals knew they were getting some much-needed payroll relief with Patrick Corbin‘s contract coming off of the books as of this offseason. The team has $70 million remaining on Stephen Strasburg‘s retirement deal that is a hit of $35 … Continue reading →

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Defense Matters and you see it in the ERA/FIP comparison

Posted on October 2, 2024 by Stephen G. "Ghost" Mears

If the Washington Nationals pitched to their FIP as their ERA, they would be in the postseason. The Nats finished the season with the 9th best FIP in baseball at 3.94 while turning in an horrific season as a defensive team. FIP … Continue reading →

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My Nats offseason rant……….

Posted on October 1, 2024 by Stephen G. "Ghost" Mears

MY RANT: Yesterday, after seeing a few posts on social media of players disbursing to their offseason homes, you look at the calendar — and it was only September 30th. These 130+ day offseasons stink. We all hate it, and … Continue reading →

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The top priorities for the 2025 season

Posted on September 29, 2024 by Stephen G. "Ghost" Mears

The offseason has started for the Washington Nationals. At the end of tomorrow’s doubleheader between the Mets and Braves, there will be 18-teams that are setting tee times for golf. The front offices of those 18-teams are getting to work, … Continue reading →

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Four bad stretches, leadership, and the adult in the room

Posted on September 27, 2024 by Stephen G. "Ghost" Mears

The Washington Nationals season was projected by the experts to be worse than last year. But the team was built to be better than those projections. The starting pitching took an early blow when Josiah Gray‘s season was really over … Continue reading →

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The value of 1-run and the little things: Part 27

Posted on September 25, 2024 by Stephen G. "Ghost" Mears

Yes, you can win games by a score of 1-0 as the Royals showed last night. The Nationals went into the top of the 10th inning last night in a 0-0 tie, and lost after an error on a ball … Continue reading →

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