In the article, The Evolution of Pitching Roles, we discussed how the role of starting pitchers has changed over the years. We did a simulation by pairing 10 starters, two per game, to see the impact on starter and bullpen innings. The results indicated it could be a viable approach. Of course, the idea that a team could have 10 legitimate starters makes that a non-starter.
This article will revisit the basic idea. A thousand simulations of a 162 game season (i.e., 162,000 games) were run with the assumption of 7 available starters. The basic idea is that the starters are managed as a FIFO stack. A list of 7 pitchers is maintained, along with when they are available to pitch, assuming 4 days of rest since the last time they pitched. This restriction of 4 rest days is why this simulation is of 1000 iterations of 162 game seasons, instead of just simulating games. The previous study had 5 pairs to 2 starters, so there was not an issue with the number of days of rest.
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