All-Star LF already at the Spring Training facility practicing 1st base #Nats

You read the headline and think this is all about Jayson Werth—Wrong! This is mostly about Matt Holliday and a little bit about Jayson Werth.

Right now at the Cardinals spring training facility in Jupiter Florida, Matt Holliday is taking groundballs at 1st base.  Yes, it’s 2 months before his teammates are scheduled to arrive officially at Spring Training.

On July 13, 2015 in an interview with Dayn Perry, he asked Holliday whether it’s possible he’ll see some time at first base upon his return from the DL: “No,”.  Any chance at all? “No.”  Okay, asked and answered.  The only reason Perry asked was because he saw Holliday practicing taking grounders at 1st base prior to Cardinals batting practice, and then yesterday on MLB Network Radio with Casey Stern this is the complete 180° as Matt Holliday had this to say when asked if he would play 1st base, Yes, if they need me to play 1st, great…if the team wants me to do it  great…”  Head spin. Less than 6 months between quotes and ‘No’ turns to ‘Yes’ and ‘Great’.

https://twitter.com/JWerthsBeard/status/679101543459774465?s=09

Continue reading

Posted in Analysis, Jayson | Leave a comment

Sign and Trade to Game the QO

Ken Rosenthal included a tidbit in his column on Free Agent Signings. Apparently the CBA allows a team with a protected pick to sign a Free Agent and then immediately trade him to another team as long as the Free Agent who is signing agrees to it. On the Hot Stove show on MLB Network Rosenthal doubled-down on this and implied that this was allowed as long as the Free Agent agreed before he signed. Given the history of the Lerners and Rizzo, this is exactly the type of creativity that they might try to pull off. Continue reading

Posted in FreeAgents, Lerners, RizzoForADay | Leave a comment

Win Now vs Consistently Good/Great Teams for the #Nats

Time for a philosophical debate.

In the spirit of the season, if you are sitting on Santa’s lap or you get a visited by the baseball gods, and you were granted one wish for the next twenty years of Nats baseball, which of the following two choices would you pick? And why? Continue reading

Posted in Lerners, RizzoForADay | Leave a comment

Does Dusty Do Platoons? #Nats

There are some GMs like Billy Beane and Managers like Don Mattingly who embrace the platoon concept and many times it’s out of circumstance rather than design. Some would say you need the right personnel to make a good platoon and others would say you have the wrong personnel if you have to consider a platoon.  All good sides to the discussion.

The Nats are not a team that has ever used a platoon in their history as a regular strategy. Mike Rizzo has always looked for lefties like LaRoche, Span and Harper who can hit left-handed pitchers well.  But there’s this player named Danny Espinosa who has struggled against right-handed pitchers, and there are have even been subtle attempts to use Scott Hairston as a right-handed “match-up” guy except the only problem was his defense was so bad it was counterproductive to pencil his name into the starting line-up.

Danny Espinosa has been one of the best 2nd baseman defensively in the league, and the issue is his bat from the left side has been on the wrong side of .250 for much of his career and his .217 BA and .286 OBP just won’t cut it on most teams.  The good news is there are several 2nd baseman that we’ve highlighted like Luis Valbuena who is an above league average defender and well above league average as a lefty batter when facing right-handed pitchers and Valbuena has a similar problem as Espi where he has poor platoon splits.

Stats via BaseballReference.com

Espinosa

Espinosa platoon

Valbuena

valbuena platoon

Now combine Espinosa’s .795 OPS to Valbuena’s .808 and you end up with an OPS over .803.

Continue reading

Posted in Dusty, Sabermetrics | Leave a comment

If at 2nd you don’t succeed, try try again! #Rizzo #Nats

Rizzo traded Yunel Escobar and tried to get a 2nd baseman by attempting to sign free agent Ben Zobrist and trade for Brandon Phillips.

The Brandon Phillips trade could still work and in case it does not there has to be an alternative plan.  Rizzo could get creative and jump into other trade possibilities that won’t work like Jason Kipnis and Joe Panik and Dee Gordon; however, there are some lefties in the next tier that can work like Daniel Murphy and Kelly Johnson as Free Agents and trades like Scooter Gennett, Cory Spangenberg, Luis Valbuena and Cesar Hernandez (SH), and there are some intriguing right-handers who could be traded like Starlin Castro who is nearing the end with the Cubs.  Continue reading

Posted in BPhillips, Espinosa, FreeAgents, Turner | Leave a comment

Breaking: Brandon Phillips needs to waive no trade clause & pass physical to be a Nat

His nickname is Dat Dude which rhymes with Nats dude. We reported over 2 hours ago that the Reds and Nats have agreed in principle on a trade of Brandon Phillips to the Nats.  It’s complicated by a “no trade” clause that Phillips controls and he is on his way to Washington DC to meet with Mike Rizzo.

Continue reading

Posted in BPhillips, Breaking | Leave a comment

The Nats have a currency called pitchers

Blockbuster trades make the headlines in sports, and the distinction for the biggest baseball trade of this off-season belongs to the Diamondbacks and the Braves.  The Braves dangled Shelby Miller out there like a great angler does with his favorite lure to catch that prized bass.  The DBacks bit hard and gave up their #1 overall pick from the 2015 draft Dansby Swanson plus Aaron Blair and Ender Inciarte in that trade.

The Nats don’t have a Shelby Miller type to trade; however,  Rizzo does have a Fedde and a Voth and Wilmer Difo to dangle along with Drew Storen who has value and some throw-ins like Tyler Moore and Erik Davis.

Another strategy for Rizzo would be to add a Free Agent starting pitcher like Mike Leake or Wei Yin-Chen and then trade a pitcher like Gio Gonzalez as currency to fill some of the needs that the Nats have been looking for in a lefty 2nd baseman and a lefty centerfielder.  The Nats need to look towards the trade route where the fit should be better than looking at the Free Agents where the risk is greater given the age, cost, years of service, and questionable projectible statistics.

Continue reading

Posted in BPhillips, Starters | Leave a comment

Let’s visit the rumor mill and Mike Rizzo

Let’s start by reiterating the words of Mike Rizzo from November, “The 2016 Nats will be younger, less experienced but more athletic and speedier. A little transformation…We would like to get more left-handed.”  Those are Mike Rizzo’s own words.

Yesterday, the Nats were attached in rumors to Brandon Phillips based on information from Ken Rosenthal.  Based on what Rizzo is looking for per the quotes above is not Brandon Phillips.  He is not ‘younger’ in baseball terms as he will be 35 years old in 2016 and he is not left-handed which were 2 of the main points that Rizzo made for his 2016 roster.

Continue reading

Posted in Analysis, Dusty, RizzoForADay | Leave a comment

Politics: The back of the bullpen is occupied by Papelbon and Storen

Washington DC mixes business and politics all the time so why not the business of baseball?  Senate Majority leader Mitch McConnell who is a die-hard Nats fan gave his 2¢ when it came to Jonathan Papelbon (video below) as he was asked, “How are your Nats going to come back next season”:

“[Groans] Wellll, uhhhhm, first of all, they need to get rid of Papelbon. Getting in fights with the Most Valuable Player in the National League strikes me as NOT a team-building exercise.”

This morning on MLB Network Radio on Sirius/XM, they had special guest Bill Ladson on with Steve Phillips.  Phillips asked if Ladson had to bet his life on it, who would get more saves out of Papelbon and Storen.  Ladson answered that he thought Papelbon would earn more saves with the Nats because he just hasn’t seen a trade market open up for him and thinks the Nats will be stuck with him.  Ladson felt that there was a limited trade market for Storen.

For right now, the Nats bullpen is at 9 players for 7 spots with Papelbon and Storen still part of the mix, and that leaves Blake Treinen and Rafael Martin on the outside looking in. On top of that Sammy Solis is well down the depth chart for starters and said at the Nats Winterfest, “I want to make the roster however I can. Starter, bullpen, and I’d even be catcher [laughing] if that’s what it takes.”

Last week we analyzed the front of the bullpen with the 4 new acquisitions by Mike Rizzo which was lefty Oliver Perez and righties Yusmeiro Petit, Shawn Kelley and Trevor Gott. http://www.talknats.com/2015/12/10/front-of-the-bullpen-constructed-in-nashville-oliver-perez-shawn-kelley-yusmeiro-petit/

Bullpen Snip

Continue reading

Posted in Bullpen, Dusty, Gott, Kelley, OliverPerez, Papelbon, Petit, Prospects, Roster, Storen | Leave a comment

MASN lawsuit inspires a new book: “Lawyerball”

You all might remember Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game is a book written by Michael Lewis that was published in 2003 about Billy Beane the GM of the Oakland A’s.  The book was turned into a movie that was released in 2011 where Brad Pitt played Beane.

Why not a book about the MASN lawsuit? That’s exactly what a DC lawyer named Charles H. Martin, J.D., M.B.A. thought.  If you have followed the MASN history, you know it is a drama playing out in real-time.

Our first question to Charles Martin was to find out what motivated him to turn this MASN debacle into a book?

“First, I am a Nats fan. My grandfather was a Griffith Stadium vendor for thirty years. My father took me to see the Senators at DC/RFK Stadium.

Second, I negotiated and drafted corporate contracts for thirteen years. Then, I taught contract law full-time at two law schools for four years. I wrote academic articles on contracts that were popular. I wrote a big, long book on contracts (“Every1’s Guide to Electronic Contracts”) that was probably too academic to be popular. I plan to split it into several smaller and easier-to-digest books for the general public.

Third, the timing was right for me to write this book. I had finished my previous book in early 2014, and I was looking to apply the lessons I learned from that experience when I heard that the Orioles were trying to vacate the MLB arbitration results in a New York state court.

Fourth, I blog and I post on social media about contract law and its effects on small businesses, consumers and employees. Arbitration and non-compete agreements are two topics that recur regularly. Arbitration is at the heart of the MASN lawsuit. Non-compete agreements are indirectly involved through the history of the MLB antitrust exemption, and the now-defunct player reserve clause.”

Lawyerball-Cover-5

Continue reading

Posted in Lerners, MASN | Leave a comment