The 4 N’s: Nats News -n- Notes

This was the big news of the day about new positions for Randy Knorr, Matt LeCroy and Bobby Henley as well as Brian Daubach.  On the surface this looks very promising.

The other big news is that Bryce Harper won the Player of the Year award from Baseball America. (h/t to Section222)  http://www.baseballamerica.com/majors/2015-major-league-player-year-bryce-harper-2/

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The Final 18 game recap of 2015 by Section222

 

A Season Lost — 18 games at a time

And now for the final 18-gamer.  Why did I ever sign up for this gig? Well, I guess it’s because looking at the season in 18-game chunks provides some interesting perspective, and sometimes offers some surprises.  This kind of retrospective is also useful since certain truisms tend to take over after a bad season that may or may not be actually true.

The Nats finished 9-9 in their last 18 games, perhaps fitting because they were essentially a .500 team this year.  Remember, if you average 10-8 over the course of the season, you’re a 90-win team.  That’s what the Mets did this year.   The Nats average was 9-9, or 9.22-8.78 if you want to get technical.  Over the last 54 games they were 27-27.  Yes, they were a .500 team.  Sigh.

Here’s the Nats overall record, broken into 18-game stretches:

Nats — 7-11, 12-6, 10-8, 10-8, 10-8, 7-11, 8-10, 10-8, 9-9.

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Playoffs update: A broken leg leads to more debate!

With a runner on 2nd and 1 out and the Dodgers down by 1 run, Chase Utley was inserted as a pinch-hitter and promptly blooped a single to the outfield which sent the runner to 3rd.  Bartolo Colon had replaced Syndergaard and with runners on 3rd and 1st.  Kendrick hits a slow grounder behind 2nd base and Utley took out the shortstop Ruben Tejada and broke his leg. You can see it on the video:

http://m.mlb.com/video/v521590283/nymlad-gm2-dodgers-tie-game-after-hard-utley-slide/?game_pk=446246

After the game, the 1st question to Mets manager Terry Collins was about the play:

https://twitter.com/BBTN/status/653076013094711296

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His last name is Rivero, not Rivera. Guess who has a better Save %

Mariano Rivera has a better career Save % than Felipe Rivero, but if we just included 9th inning Save opportunities Felipe Rivero is 100%.  Rivero at times has been dominating with his upper 90’s smoke.  For lefty hard throwing relievers, you have Aroldis Chapman at 100.48mph average for 2015, Rivero averaged 96.31mph in September, Andrew Miller averaged 95.12 with his fastball, Zach Britton averaged 96.88 with his heater which was .61 more velo over 2014, and Jake Diekman averaged 97.58 on his fastball.  Rivero can learn from this small fraternity of fireballing southpaws at 95+.  Did we miss anyone?

Rivero’s repertoire of pitches is his 4-seam heater, changeup and slider, and he relies on speed, location, and movement for success.

It was on February 13, 2014 when the Nats traded Nate Karns to the Tampa Rays for a trio of players including Jose Lobaton, Drew Vettleson and Rivero.  The Rays signed Rivero as an international Free Agent out of Venezuela as a 17 year old.  The Rays used Rivero predominately as a starter and in the Minors the Nats did the same until Spring Training in 2015 the Nats moved Rivero to the bullpen and the change worked well.

https://twitter.com/Rivero43/status/653252433599139840

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The Interview must include playing board games.

Rizzo should put a chess and checkers board in front of each candidate and see which candidates can play the game of chess which is all about thinking many moves ahead and is said to be one of the few games which has very little luck associated with it.

This is one of the greatest quotes I’ve ever heard in a comparison of managers, Riggleman who worked for years in the St. Louis Cardinals organization before he was hired also knew how you beat LaRussa in that your players must outplay his players aka EXECUTION:

Riggleman in 2010 as Nats manager said,  “Once the game starts, [LaRussa’s] a master. He’s just outstanding. I think in terms of preparation and all of that, he’s at the top of the list right now in baseball. He’s a great motivator and great strategist. [LaRussa’s] playing chess. I’m playing checkers. But he’s really good. He knows his talent. He knows your talent. He knows who he’s playing two days from now. He’s got it all in there. You’re not going to get anything by him. You just manage your team the best you can and hope your players outplay his players.”

Jim Riggleman was correct on LaRussa who retired as a World Series champ which was his 3rd of his career in the 6 times he got to the WS.  LaRussa won in both the AL and the NL.  It also exposed Riggleman who let us know he was just playing checkers.  Matt Williams was playing checkers in Game 2 in 2014 and many times in 2015.  Davey Johnson was a chess player many years ago, but his game wasn’t as sharp at 69 years old in 2012 or at 70 years old in 2013 .

Jeff Banister said after last night’s game that he isn’t looking for 9th, 8th, 7th, 6th guys, he’s looking for matchups. Again, that’s fine when Diekman and Dyson are on their game and even the best plans backfire. Banister sat his starter Gallardo after only 5 innings and brought in his 1st reliever (Kela) with a 4-2 lead who gave up a HR to the first batter he faced to make the score 4-3 and the 2nd batter missed a HR next to the leftfield foul pole by about 24 inches.  Luck or execution or both? Kela settled down and then the Texas bullpen did take over however the Blue Jays were playing without Bautista and Donaldson.

Think back to Game 2 of the playoffs in 2014. If Drew Storen came in with 2 outs and got Buster Posey out in the 9th inning, the story would be Matt Williams made a ‘brilliant move’ or they would say ‘the risky move paid off’. That’s how it works when a player executes; however, when that same decision doesn’t work it becomes a dumb move or was it?  Was it playing chess or checkers because the game was still 1-0 and Posey was on 1st and Panik was on 2nd with 2 outs and it became the next move which was the game changer as Pablo Sandoval stepped into the box with the game on the line batting lefthanded which was his much stronger side at the time by almost a 120 point margin.  What would LaRussa have done in that same situation? Would he have left JZim in to finish the 9th or pulled him for Storen?  Would LaRussa leave Storen in to face Sandoval?

Chess or checkers, and hope your players outplay his players.  Thanks for that Jim Riggleman.

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Rizzo is accepting résumés for job openings. Manager, cashier, groundskeeper…..

Actually Mike Rizzo isn’t accepting résumés for the 2016 Manager job.  Our sources tell us that Rizzo has a list that he and his front office have compiled, and he has also received some calls from those who want to be considered.  Rizzo this time around is looking for a strategic manager who can communicate well as we have been told.  Must have experience. Newbies need not apply.

Names that we are being told that are on the list is Randy Knorr, Bud Black, Ron Gardenhire, Dusty Baker and Rick Renteria. Not sure what they end up doing with Randy Knorr in the organization. Bud Black is at the top of the list.

Other names that are being matched to the Nats are Ryne Sandberg, , Charlie Manuel, Cal Ripken, Ray Knight, Billy Gardner, Don Wakamatsu, Mike Redmond, Bo Porter, and  Jim Leyland.

Other suggestions are Ron Wotus who is a bench coach in San Francisco and Dave Martinez the bench coach with the Cubs.  In order to interview personnel currently employed by other teams, permission must be given, and we have been told the Nats will seek that permission on Wotus and have not asked about Martinez whose team is currently still alive in the post-season.

Long shots are Joe Girardi and Terry Francona as they are both currently employed which make both a long-shot.

Most amusing name I’ve seen is Buck Showalter.  He’s under contract next year, and Angelos won’t let him out of his contract.

Most creative suggestion was Jayson Werth as a player/manager like Frank Robinson once was.  That might be a long-long-shot.

Photo Credit ESPN

Photo Credit ESPN

There could certainly be other names that make the list.  Rizzo will work this list harder than his previous lists, and there will certainly be some other names that make Rizzo’s list.

We gave you a list of 20 names.  Who else would you suggest?  Who is the frontrunner? Who do you predict will be the next Manager of the Washington Nationals?

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Player Spotlight: Trea Turner behind the scenes with family!

It should already be clear that we consider Trea Turner an integral part of the future of the Washington Nationals.  You don’t ever want to rush greatness, and there will also be the contractual and team control issues that could be maximized, but much of this will be dictated by need.  Whether Trea is predominantly a 2nd baseman or a shortstop, we’ve already seen him play both infield spots.

The Nats off-season winter trade between 3 teams that sent Steven Souza to the Tampa Rays with the Padres sending Trea Turner and Joe Ross to the Nats will be judged in hindsight for the full impact of who got the better of that trade.  In real-time, Rizzo should be arrested for grand larceny in that trade.  It’s as if Rizzo walked into The Louvre and swiped a Rembrandt and a Van Gogh off the walls and hung in their place a Picasso.  Joe Ross has proved that if he can perfect his change-up to add to his slider/fastball ‘plus’ combo that he could be a front of the rotation starter, and Trea Turner is a toolsy middle infielder who has shown 3 obvious tools on display in speed, range and bat, and Scouts have him either as the #1 or #2 middle infield prospect in baseball ratings.

Turner has speed and instincts and that’s essential to being a successful baserunner:

http://m.mlb.com/video/v488827283/miawsh-turner-dials-it-up-to-22-mph-to-take-third/?game_pk=415851

And speed also works in catching balls in Rightfield.  Yes, rightfield covering 107 feet from 2nd base to that spot to make that catch in the #StatCast illustration below, and we have also seen Trea Turner glide to ground balls in the infield as his footwork and quick 1st step is tremendous.

https://twitter.com/statcast/status/637485633674412032

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Who Should Rizzo have help him with the interview/selection process for a new Nats Manager?

In After parting ways with Matt Williams, Nationals need to find a true leader, Tom Boswell made an interesting point about Rizzo’s choice of Matt Williams:

We now know that Nationals General Manager Mike Rizzo blundered in hiring a manager with no experience to run a World Series-ready club. But there was another problem: Rizzo himself has had little experience in picking managers. His first big hire was a grab for a comfortable simplistic archetype that’s been around for a century. I’ve called the type The Peerless Leader — the nickname for handsome, tough Frank Chance, a successful Cubs manager a hundred years ago.

So that leads to an interesting question for us to debate: Who should Mike Rizzo involve in his process to hire a new manager? Continue reading

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Bryce Harper should be the NL Hank Aaron Award Winner

The Hank Aaron Award is given each year to the best hitter in each league. Clearly the best hitter in the NL is Bryce. This is something that is easy to quantify. In fact we already did in the Bryce Harper Final Stats Clearly Support MVP post.

In 1999, an objective points system was used. Since then a number of different criteria have been used, most of which have involved voting. The current criteria is that a player is nominated by each team (it’s broadcasters) and then the final winner is selected based on a combination of fan votes and a panel of HOF voters selected by Hank Aaron.

We need to help Bryce win this by voting for him on this page on the mlb web-site.

Voting closes at 11:59pm ET on Sunday, October 11. You can vote up 20 10 times a day.

Let’s make sure Bryce wins this award!

UPDATE: You can vote 10 times a day, not 20. And the count is device specific. So you can vote 10 times on each computer, handheld, tablet, etc. It is not clear if they check the entered info to disqualify your extra votes,

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The Man who has caught 3 no-hitters in 129 games — Wilson Ramos

Some stats were saying Wilson Ramos caught 3 no-hitters in a span of 162 games and that’s accurate if you are counting games on the Nationals calendar, but Wilson Ramos didn’t appear in all 162 games in that span as he was behind the plate in 129 games from the Jordan Zimmermann no-hitter to end the 2014 regular season and then for the June 20, 2015 Max Scherzer no-hitter and the October 3, 2015 no-hitter.  Based on the 129 games that Ramos caught, his current pace has been one no-hitter per every 43 games he’s played, and all of those are Major League records.  With some number crunching using “rest” days for Ramos, we know that the next no-hitter will come in Game #54 of the 2016 season if there are no rain-outs that would be June 1, 2016 in Philadelphia vs. the Phillies (book it).

If Wilson Ramos is fortunate enough to catch another no-hitter, it would tie him for the MLB regular season record of 4 no-hitters held by Jason Varitek, and keep in mind that Ramos just turned 28 años in August.

Varitek played until the ripe age of 39, and the 4th no-hitter that Tek caught was in 2008 at the age of 36, thrown by Jon Lester.  Some catchers go a lifetime of never having caught a no-no Varitek said.  In fact when Lester threw his no-hitter which was Varitek’s 4th and final no-hitter he caught in his career he said, “I didn’t really know he had a no-hitter until the eighth [inning]. I looked up in the seventh and saw that he was around 100 pitches, and he did his job.  I glanced in the bullpen and saw nobody warming up and thought that was weird.”  In Lester’s 2nd inning  of that 2008 no-hitter game, the Perfect Game ended on a walk and then near-disaster on a Lester fielding error so you can see why Varitek might have lost track of the zero hit total.

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