The analytics of starting pitching has been trending to fewer innings

Photo By Andrew Lang for TalkNats

It was a generation ago when Kerry Wood and Mark Prior burned-out their golden arms due to extreme overuse. Baseball set a line of demarcation where going over 120 pitches was taboo. Few pitchers reach that mark these days. In 2000, there were 24 pitchers who pitched over 210 innings. This past season, only 5 pitchers went over the 210 inning mark. What we have learned since then is pitch counts and innings are like a car’s odometer. If you throw too many, your arm breaks down like a piston in an engine. Continue reading

Posted in DaveMartinez | Leave a comment

Nationals go quick strike again and snag Patrick Corbin and what will be a key relationship with his catcher(s)!

Smile Mike Rizzo, you have earned it. The Washington Nationals snagged the number one pitcher in the free agent pool signing Patrick Corbin to a six-year $140 million deal which will also cost the Nats a million dollars of international draft money plus forfeiting a 2nd round pick and a lower level pick (5th overall) as compensation penalty since Corbin was protected by the Qualifying Offer. As we reported on November 21st, the Nationals were “in” on Corbin and entered an aggressive market against the Yankees who were the early odds-on favorite along with the Phillies who vowed to outbid everyone.  In the end, it “supposedly” was not just all about the money, but rather a confluence of factors that included family, stability, and a strong fit with the Nationals and the catcher(s) he would be pitching to.

Continue reading

Posted in MikeRizzo | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Winter Meetings begin on Sunday in Las Vegas

The Winter Meetings begin Sunday, December 9 in Las Vegas, and before team personnel arrive in Las Vegas, it is the teams of the NL East who have been involved in most of the action going on with regards to acquisitions. The Nationals, Braves, Phillies, and Mets all improved this week through acquisitions. The Nats acquired Yan Gomes, the Braves acquired Josh Donaldson and Brian McCann, the Phillies acquired Jean Segura, and the Mets got Robinson Cano and closer Edwin Diaz. There will be more moves to come.  Continue reading

Posted in Analysis | Leave a comment

Day two of Nats Winterfest!

Nationals Winterfest 2018—Day 2 Report

Well, if I had to grade Winterfest just on today, I’d give it a B-. There were more players (hello, Kiebooms!) and the weather was less bad (albeit still cold and damp) so the kids’ activities outside were available. I would say the fan attendance was actually less than yesterday, just based on the number of fans in the State of the Nats session. Of course, since it wasn’t raining, people could spread out more: eating at the tables they set up on the plaza vs. hiding under the concourse and worshiping the heatlamps, and the centerfield plaza infield was in use for the kids/players interaction. Continue reading

Posted in Feature, MikeRizzo | Leave a comment

Nationals Winterfest first day (Saturday)

Nationals Winterfest Report (card) Day One

Overall, I give them a C+.  Yes, it was nice to be able to tour the clubhouse, bullpen and batting cages. But that was more than offset by the cold, rain, and logistics of having to go in, out, around, up and down to get between venues and get food in the rain. Little chance to run into someone you knew because (1) a lot of folks didn’t show up even if they bought tickets due to the rain/Metro and (2) of necessity the events were in different places so everyone was dashing from point to point in the cold and rain (unlike the Convention Center where you could actually spot people sauntering from place to place.) They did put out radiant heaters by some tables—people were so cold they were standing under the heaters holding up their hands as if they were worshiping the light. Continue reading

Posted in Feature | Leave a comment

#Nats increase their title chances by one Brazilian!

After a topsy-turvy afternoon of trade rumors today, the Washington Nationals emerged with sought-after catcher Yan Gomes, formerly of the Cleveland Indians. Reports had linked both the division-rival New York Mets and former playoff nemeses the Los Angeles Dodgers to Gomes in trade talks, but it was the Nats who were able to seal the deal.

Gomes was one of the Indians’ numerous representatives on the American League All-Stars this past season, hitting .247/.744 in the first half. He actually turned on the afterburners and had a stronger second half, unlike some other “he was an All-Star!?” All-Stars, as he hit .295/.791 the rest of the way. It was a big rebound year for Gomes, who famously sacrificed a rotisserie chicken in the clubhouse to try to get himself out of a 2016 slump. He was decent in 2017 but still only managed a .232 average (.708 OPS). All told, in 2018, he turned in a .266/.762 line. Continue reading

Posted in MikeRizzo, Roster, Suzuki, Wieters, YanGomes | Leave a comment

Decision day on arbitration eligible players. Tender or non-tender?

Normally, tendering arbitration eligible players is a no-brainer on the deadline day. Today is that day for all MLB teams that will have to formally make decisions on tender/non-tender for 2019 contracts to unsigned players who are not signed to set contracts and this includes arbitration eligible players. The Nationals have seven players who are arbitration eligible, and here are their projected arbitration values via MLBTR: Anthony Rendon – $17.6 million , Tanner Roark – $9.8 million, Trea Turner – $5.3 million, Michael Taylor – $3.2 million. Kyle Barraclough — $1.9 million, Joe Ross – $1.5 million, and Sammy Solis – $900,000.  Continue reading

Posted in MikeRizzo, Roster | Leave a comment

Of Brilliant Starts and Humble Finishes

Curt Blefary 1965 AL Rookie of the Year

Baseball is a sport of youth.  Few things epitomize that more than the “Rookie of the Year.”  Begun in 1947 on a national basis the award draws attention to the next-greatest-thing in the sport.  Some of the winners, like this year’s phenom Ronald Acuna Jr. and Bryce Harper in 2012 were heralded long before arriving on the big stage.  They were picked by pundits and analysts to make a splash and did not disappoint.  Others emerged from seemingly nowhere to take the honor.  Most who have won the award have gone on to have fine careers.  Some 16 of the 110 retired award winners have been inducted into the Hall of Fame.   Subtracting the 10 retired players in the 5-year HOF waiting period yields a rate of 1 inductee out of every 6 ROY award winners.   On the other hand some honorees go on to relatively short and nondescript careers. Continue reading

Posted in Feature | Leave a comment

Britt Ghiroli joins the Washington Nationals beat with The Athletic

The biggest Washington Nationals news on Tuesday was the acquisition of Brittany Ghiroli as a Nats beat writer for The Athletic. Some would say “finally” they hired someone at The Athletic whose main purpose is to cover the Nats and give some fresh perspective to a team that has few regulars on the beat. Many baseball fans know Britt Ghiroli from the Orioles beat and from her appearances on MLB Network. As a former collegiate swimmer at Michigan State, Ghiroli fits right in with athletes — even athletes who compete on grass and dirt. She does not know any of the current Nats players, but knows manager Dave Martinez who she covered with the Tampa Bay Rays back in 2008.  Continue reading

Posted in Feature | Leave a comment

It isn’t how you start — it is how you finish!

Some media reports got the fans riled up after the Braves signed two former star players as they acquired Brian McCann and Josh Donaldson. All the Nationals did today was add right-hander Henderson Alvarez to a minor league deal with an invitation to spring training to go with previous signings this off-season of Kyle Barraclough, Trevor Rosenthal, and Kurt Suzuki. Until the off-season is over and the regular season ends, why get upset about what other teams are doing in November. If Nats fans are getting agitated over Josh Donaldson who was injured for over 2/3rds of the season, then what will they do if Bryce Harper signs with the Philadelphia Phillies? Calm down. Continue reading

Posted in Analysis, Feature | Leave a comment