Bryce Harper joins the 10+ WAR Club in MLB history

Bryce Harper had 3 hits in today’s game.  2 singles and a double and none of them were hit particularly hard.  He raised his league leading Batting Average to .343

This single has to be seen to be believed as it had enough spin on that to make it look like a Willie Mosconi billiards trick shot!

Bryce Harper also raised his MLB best WAR above the 10.00 mark to 10.1 which is in legendary levels rarely seen.    MLB WAR RANKING There now is 24 position players including Harper who have accomplished the 10.1 WAR or better in MLB history and it has only been accomplished 52 times in MLB history that a position player has ranked at 10.1 or above and Harper’s season isn’t finished.  We will revisit this again after the season to see where Bryce ranks in history.

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In-Game, TREA TURNER STARTS! Stephen Strasburg for the Nats. Game #148

Trea Turner will start his 1st  2nd game today since Aug 28 (H/T to Section 222 for the correction) today and it will be at 2nd base as Rendon gets the day-of.

This afternoon Stephen Strasburg will pitch for the Washington Nationals in the game that will decide the season series with the Marlins as the teams are 9-9 vs each other in 2015. The Marlins will pitch rookie lefty Justin Nicolino who was supposed to pitch on Saturday and was moved back to Sunday to give him an extra day of rest.

Strasburg’s line-up will similar to Saturday’s line-up that faced lefty Brad Hand with Turner in for Rendon.  Tyler Moore was the offensive hero for the Nats along with Bryce Harper, and Tyler Moore also made some slick defensive plays.

If you happen to be following Bryce Harper’s quest for the Triple Crown, Harper made some big progress on Saturday hitting his 41st HR of the season and driving in 3 runs to raise his RBI total to 95 and move him into 4th in the NL in RBIs trailing Arenado (114), Goldschmidt (100), Kemp (97),  and Harper (95). Harper is in sole possession of 1st place in HRs (41) and Batting Average (.340).

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In-Game, JZim gets the start in game #147. #Nats

Who can forget JZim’s last regular season home start in 2014 against the Marlins?  Need a hint?  NO-HITTER!!!

This afternoon JZim will faceoff against rookie lefty Justin Nicolino.  In one mega trade that brought Nicolino to the Marlins from the Blue Jays, Nicolino is connected to Yunel Escobar in that trade on November 19th, 2012.  The Toronto Blue Jays traded Nicolino with Henderson Alvarez,  Anthony DeSclafani, Yunel Escobar, Adeiny Hechavarria, Jake Marisnick and Jeff Mathis to the Marlins for Emilio Bonifacio, John Buck, Mark Buehrle, Josh Johnson, Jose Reyes.  Of course a few weeks later Escobar was traded to the Rays for Derek Dietrich.  Nicolino was drafted in the 2nd round out of High School by the Blue Jays and as spent nearly 5 years in the Minors.

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Some defensive notes from last night.

Total team win. Max, the relievers, the starters and the bench. Everybody contributed. Cool to see Lobaton get the walk-off RBI. This team is really together. Too bad they don’t have 6 weeks left instead of just 2.”  

The relievers? They did everything they could to lose the game. Paplebon in particular looks worse and worse every outing.

Two opinions and some analysis that the relievers did their job.

In a tie game to begin the top of the 8th, Felipé Rivero took the mound to face all the lefties.  1st up was Ichiro who grounded a ball into the 3.5 hole as Rendon was shaded up the middle.  Rivero struck out Yelich.  Up to the plate came Justin Bour.  Once again Rendon was shaded up the middle and when you look at Bour’s spray chart against lefty pitchers you see he mostly pulls grounders to the extreme right-side.

Here’s Bour’s spray chart against LHPs and you can see only 1 groundball ever hit directly next to the rightside of the 2nd base bag and the rest go directly to 1st base or where you’d want your 2nd baseman positioned :

Bour

 

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Nats WALK-OFF CHOC-OFF! As exciting as it gets!

As Scherzer said, “I  f***ing  want it” and he delivered with the final out in the 7th inning after Matt Williams approached the mound with 2 outs and Dee Gordon coming to bat, and Scherzer delivered again with the Hershey’s Chocolate syrup after the walk-off!!!!

The Nats improve to 8-2 in extra inning games this year and this game was exciting before the 1st pitch as dueling aces were the Acês de jour with Scherzer and José Fernandez.

Trea Turner’s speed was on display tonight to  get the Nats the tying run in the 8th inning. Turner pinch-ran for Escobar who led off the 8th inning with a single. Turner advanced to 2nd base on a walk to Harper and with Turner at 2nd base, he advanced to 3rd as the ball squirted away from the catcher only a few feet and raced to the bag just beating the throw, and then scored on a shallow flyball by Ian Desmond.

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In-Game, dueling Aces. José Fernandez vs. Max Scherzer

As pitchers in each series match-up, the Nats once again will face the opposing team’s #1 in a series. Miami starts José Fernandez and his 2.06 ERA, and if that seems like a recurring theme, it is.  It’s been an incredible run through the season where the odds seem almost astronomical for as many times as the Nats face the other teams’ #1. There are of course the 2 times a year you set your rotation, and that’s on Opening Day, and the 1st series after the All-Star break.  With 5 man rotations, the odds of facing a teams #1 pitcher is generally 60% as the season goes on.  It is, what it is, and our resident stats expert Don aka Zmunchkin will cover this after the season as to the stats of facing the other team’s #1 in a series.

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Tanner Roark wants to pitch better.

Tanner Roark made his MLB debut on August 7 of 2013 as a bullpen arm and eventually got some starts.  He dazzled us with pinpoint location on his fastball and good late movement on his slider.  Roark had 5 starts in 2013 and looked like the Nats found a diamond in the rough that they polished up and had a star. He finished 2013 with a 1.51 ERA and earned a spot in the Nats “ace” 2014 starting rotation.

In 2014, Roark would pitch 198 1/3 innings and finish with an “Ace” ERA of 2.85.  He would finish 10th in the league in adjusted ERA+ at 130 and was 6th in pitcher’s WAR at 5.1 and was on many other leader boards.  Normally those types of stats get you some 6th to 10th place votes on the Cy Young ballot but baseball sometimes won’t take a pitcher who was once in Independent baseball and lacked the pedigree to get that type of recognition without repeating it again.

The Nats signed Max Scherzer in the winter of this season meaning unless there was a trade of Strasburg, JZim, Fister or Gio, it would be Roark who was the odd man out and that is what happened.  Roark was moved to the bullpen and would move back into the 2013 role he held with the Nats which would be the “jack of all trades” and take on that Craig Stammen role of long relief, middle relief, set-up, stopper, spot starter, and why not, close a game too.  Roark accepted the role as a team first guy and said all the right things when asked if he was disappointed, he would just say “I’m happy to do whatever Matt asks of me”.

Roark got mop-up 2 inning work in his 1st appearance. In his 2nd appearance in a tie game in Philly, he gave up the walk-off win. His 2nd appearance was a mop-up type of middle relief, 4th appearance he earned his 1st hold.  In his 6th appearance he took his 2nd loss in a tie game gave up the winning run in the 8th inning.  In his 9th appearance with a tired Drew Storen, Roark got a Save. A couple of mistake pitches didn’t doom him on that night and he finished the Save with a K of Stanton with Gordon on the basepaths.  On May 25th, Roark would join the starting due to Strasburg going to the DL.  Roark just has not looked like his 2013 or 2014 version.

He has struggled through almost the entire season.  The pinpoint fastball command has not been there, and at times the slider doesn’t slide and gets hit far and deep as we’ve seen. By the stats, it’s not hard to see that Tanner’s ERA, WHIP and HR/9 are all bad and while some pitchers like Gio are high WHIP with respectable ERA, Tanner Roark isn’t that type.

Here’s the Prado pitch location from last night that became a 2 run HR in the 1st inning:

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In-Game, Roark is scheduled to face the Fish in DC

The Nats begin this 4 game home series against the Fish and they are projecting Cosart as their starter to face Tanner Roark.  The Nats certainly are familiar with Cosart who they just faced in Miami on Friday while Roark pitched on Saturday.

Cosart got a no-decision in that game going 5 innings and giving up no runs; however, he took advantage of the cavernous outfield in Miami to his advantage,. Cosart is a Jekyll and Hyde type of pitcher when he heads on the road.  At Home he has a 1.93 ERA vs 8.46 on the Road and that’s not a typo.

Cosart if you remember was in trouble in the 1st inning with a lead-off walk to Werth to start the game and a walk to Bryce Harper but then worked out of it.  It was a good chance to jump on Cosart early although he made it interesting starting the 2nd inning with a leadoff single to Ramos.  In the 4th inning he gave up a leadoff single to Escobar but then coaxed a doubleplay on Desi and then gave up a 2 out single to Ramos and worked around that.   In the 5th, he lucked out on a TyMo hard lineout right to Yelich then walked Gio Gonzalez and then a single to Werth but worked out of that jam with a strikeout of Bryce Harper.

Roark who is back in the starting rotation gets to show the home crowd what he can do in 2016 if the Nats put him back permanently in the starting rotation.  This is a big outing for Tanner.

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What about this kid Jayson Werth?

Jayson Werth went to the city where he got his World Series ring and rung up some digits on his HR total and every part of his BA, OBP, SLG, and OPS too.

Every time a discussion is started on Werth and his future as a Nats starter, he reminds the fanbase that the rumors of his demise are greatly exaggerated.  Jayson’s offense is on the rise and  Werth’s defense certainly isn’t as bad as it was early in the season unless you ask FanGraphs who continue to downgrade Werth with every game he plays it seems. His overall OF UZR is a -7.6 and his LF UZR is -7.1 and only Gomes, Asche, and Hanley are rated lower.  Werth has no stolen bases this year but he is a smart baserunner when you watch him run the bases.  Jayson seems to make up for his deficiencies on offense and defense and baserunning using baseball “smarts”.  Werth is contributing now in a variety of ways and continues to be a strong voice of team leadership.

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In-Game, Gio Gonzalez vs the Phillies

Gio Gonzalez faces off against Adam Morgan who will be making his 15th start of the season.   We all remember the Adam(s) Morgan tweets and FP jokes when the Nats were scheduled to face him on June 27th but the game was postponed. Morgan is a lefty pitcher and is a Rookie who made his debut back in the June.

Keep in mind the Nats have never faced Morgan however they prepared for him and should have good scouting reports on him.  The good news is that Jonathan Papelbon can give the Nats some intel on Morgan.

Morgan throws a 90mph 4-seamer as his main pitch and has an 82mph slider, a 79 change-up and will throw some slow curveballs.

Lineups are:

 

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