Series preview: Nationals vs. Mets

The Nationals will play host to their division foe, the New York Mets, playing them for the second time this season. However, this time the Nationals look like the better team. Although the Nationals managed to win two of three in the last series, many believed it was a fluke on the Met’s part. New York has only won three of their previous 11 and they are struggling to put runs on the board. The Mets were shutout by the Reds yesterday as they lost their fifth straight series, and they have been on a downward spiral for the last month.

Meanwhile, the Nationals have been improving weekly as they have won seven of their last ten, including defeating the Giants twice previous series. Ever since the Minnsosota series, the Nationals are 11-8 and on an upwards trajectory.

The Nationals have the second-fewest runs in the National League (149), but their pitching has been brilliant recently. The Nationals starting rotation has combined for a 4.37 ERA and a 4.61 FIP. In addition, Washington has a solid pitching gore, with MacKenzie Gore getting the start in the series opener. Gore was one of the main components in the Juan Soto trade, and he’s put up impressive numbers thus far. Gore has registered a 3.65 ERA and 1.0 bWAR in seven starts.

The Nationals sit at the bottom of the N.L. East with a 16-21 record, but they quickly gain ground in the division and the National League. Believe it or not, the Nationals are 2.5 games out of a wild card. It’s still unlikely for the Nationals to play meaningful baseball in October, but it’s a good sign that the rebuild is going well.

Tale of the Tape

Divisional Standings5th3rd
All-Time matchup record
Team Average.258 (10).237 (22)
Runs149 (26)158 (21)
Hits325 (12)287 (26)
Home Runs24 (29)41 (16)
K%18.4% (1)20.2% (2)
OBP.319 (19).326 (13)
ERA4.44 (18)4.71 (22)
WHIP1.42 (25)1.34 (19)
Run Differential-21 (19)-10 (18)
Errors22 (T-8)12 (T-27)

Scouting the Lineup

Projected starting lineupABBAHHRRBIOPSWAR
CF Brandon Nimmo138.31243315.8581.5
RF Starling Marte120.2172618.563-0.2
SS Francisco Lindor143.22432627.7511.2
DH Pete Alonso141.234331331.8610.9
LF Tommy Pham59.2201338.7160.1
3B Brett Baty65.2461626.7130.3
1B Mark Canha115.21725310.6520.1
2B Eduardo Escobar63.1591039.571-0.2
C Francisco Alvarez61.2461536.7350.5

Probable Pitching Matchups

Fri 5/12 – MacKenzie Gore (3-2) 3.65 ERA vs. Tylor Megill (3-2) 4.33 ERA

Game start – 7:05 p.m.

Sat 5/13 – Trevor Williams (1-1) 4.25 vs. TBD

Game start – 4:05 p.m.

Sun 5/15 – Jake Irvin (1-0) 0.84 vs. TBD

Game start – 1:35 p.m.

Mon 5/15 – Patrick Corbin (1-5) 4.87 vs. TBD

Game start – 7:05 p.m.

Betting Nuggets

Favorite: Mets (-131)

Underdog: Nationals (+111)

Over/Under: 9

Injury Report

OF Victor RoblesBack10-day ILMay 8th
RHP Chad KuhlFoot15-day ILMay 1st
INF Jeimer CandelarioRight AnkleDay-to-dayMay 10th

Broadcast Information

Television: Nationals fans will be able to watch all three games against the Mets on MASN. Bob Carpenter will handle play-by-play duties, with Kevin Frandsen as the color analyst. Dan Kolko will report from the field. MASN’s television territory covers all or parts of six states and the District of Columbia, from Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, to Charlotte, N.C., including Maryland, Delaware, Virginia, and West Virginia.

Local Radio: 106.7 is the flagship station of the Washington Nationals. Find all listings here. Play-by-play broadcasters Dave Jageler and Charlie Slowes will call the action. All games will be available to listen to on the radio.

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