Nationals move to 1-10 in opening games of series; MASN annual rights fees in favor of Nats per report!

The Nationals had a 6th inning blown save on the ledger of Dan Jennings as he gave up a 3-run homer to lose this game 4-2. Nats’ starter Jeremy Hellickson pitched well taking a 2-1 lead into the 6th inning when manager Dave Martinez went to his lefty Jennings to face Bryce Harper. Unfortunately Harper walked and Jennings stayed in to face the right-handed Rhys Hoskins who crushed a pitch on the bottom of the zone for the game winner. Were there better choices, yes since Hoskins was 1-2 against Jennings with a sacrifice fly. Kyle Barraclough and Justin Miller looked like the better choices to face Hoskins even though manager Dave Martinez said that Hoskins has reverse splits so maybe you needed a different lefty to face him like Matt Grace or even Tony Sipp who had never faced Hoskins. It was the highest leverage point in the game. 

Rhys Hoskins vs. Pitchers Table
Name PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA
OBP SLG OPS
Patrick Corbin 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000
Sean Doolittle 4 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 .000 .250 .000 .250
Jeremy Hellickson 7 6 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 .000 .143 .000 .143
Max Scherzer 15 14 0 0 0 0 0 1 9 .000 .067 .000 .067
Stephen Strasburg 14 13 1 0 0 0 0 1 7 .077 .143 .077 .220
Kyle Barraclough 9 8 1 0 0 0 0 1 5 .125 .222 .125 .347
Justin Miller 8 7 1 0 0 1 1 1 2 .143 .250 .571 .821
Erick Fedde 9 7 1 0 0 1 2 2 1 .143 .333 .571 .905
Matt Grace 6 6 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 .167 .167 .167 .333
Wander Suero 5 5 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 .200 .200 .400 .600
Anibal Sanchez 10 10 3 1 0 1 2 0 2 .300 .300 .700 1.000
Dan Jennings 3 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 .500 .333 .500 .833
Austen Williams 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.000 1.000 1.000 2.000
Total 98 86 11 2 0 3 7 10 31 .128 .224 .256 .480
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 5/3/2019 pregame.

 

“I liked Jennings all the way through to Williams. We had reverse splits on Hoskins and Realmuto. Jennings has been pitching well. He was supposed to get the slider in but left it over the plate. [Rhys Hoskins] had zero slug on left-handed slider,” manager Dave Martinez said while defending his decision to pitch Dan Jennings. “Jennings has a really good slider. That’s the match-up. We like that match-up.”

The issue is that catcher Kurt Suzuki was not set-up for an inside slider and looked to be set up low and outside and the pitch ended up on the bottom of the strike zone but the middle of the plate.

Make it 4 home runs in that location in the center/bottom of the zone

For the Nationals offense, it was just Adam Eaton, Kurt Suzuki and Howie Kendrick providing the offense today. Jeremy Hellickson actually scored the first run after he walked. Suzuki hit a solo home run, but the two runs scored by the Nats did not hold up like it did yesterday. The Nationals are now 1-10 in opening games in a series this season. The team also fell to 5.0 games behind the first place Phillies with this loss.


The MASN Annual Rights Fee Resolution

In the pre-game, news broke of the inner workings of the latest decision in the MASN network dispute and awards updated MASN dollars owed to the Nationals for a 10-year period. According to one report, the Nationals for the years of 2017 – 2021 would receive new annual rights fees which could reach approximately the $100 million per year that the Nationals requested plus/minus the Nationals share of profits/loss at MASN based on the bottomline. According to the Baltimore Sun report, the Nationals for the years of 2012-2016 would receive $20 million additional for each of those years. With these new amounts, if reserves are not adequate, the Nationals could owe back part of the profits they were previously paid. The math and the law is complicated, but on the surface it is good news for the Nationals if the Orioles and MASN do not appeal these decisions by MLB’s Revenue Sharing Definitions Committee (RSDC).

One of the provisions in the original MASN contract states that the Orioles must receive the same annual rights fees as the Nationals which further complicates the profit model at MASN. While that seems ludicrous to have equal rights fees, it is the case contractually and while unfair to the Nationals because their market sizes and demographics are very different and Washington, D.C. is approximately 45% to 60% larger depending on the formula used. How can you equitably pay the Orioles the same annual rights fees as the Nationals given the disparity in the populations and the demographics?

All of this goes back to the original 2005 MASN contract made with MLB. When you overpay the Orioles for annual TV rights, it could push MASN into a loss which the Nats would have to fund back at their ownership percentage. Currently the Nationals own 20%, and the Nats percentage will increase by 1% per year and will top out at 33% ownership in the year 2032. If profits need to be restated in prior years, the Nationals ownership percentage was only 13% in 2012 for instance.

You can read more here.

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