Category Archives: Sabermetrics

PECOTA, FanGraphs, and Las Vegas all project the Nationals to win the NL East

Houston, we have a problem. There are over 100 free agents still available with about 28 to 42 of those players who could move the projections (shown below) that have been compiled by Baseball Prospectus and FanGraphs.

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Bob Davids Chapter of Society for American Baseball Research (SABR) meeting

These summaries are transcribed from my notes, so none should be taken as verbatim quotes. Somehow in the Q & A every speaker was asked about replay and the possible pitch clock, and most of them were asked about the … Continue reading

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The math of WAR keeps analytics adding the sum of the parts!

Washington Nationals general manager Mike Rizzo refers to his analytics department as “The Pentagon”. They are a key to the Sabermetrics and the math of WAR (Wins Above Replacement) which keeps Rizzo’s analytics department on their toes as each player … Continue reading

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2018 Season Lucky Random Predictions

2018 Season Lucky Random Predictions by Bernie “Candide” Gilbert Spring training always brings predictions for the coming season. Rather than try to predict next season’s final standings and playoff results, I decided to try to see if there’s anything a … Continue reading

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Mike Rizzo and analytics are moving forward; The Pentagon and the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

After the Houston Astros won the World Series, the Jeff Luhnow hand-picked analytics team was brought into full focus that analytics can make a difference. Winning in new ways like the Royals did three years before opens eyes to new … Continue reading

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What Does Statcast’s New Catch Probability Metric Tell Us About the Washington Nationals?

  The acquisition of Adam Eaton in the Washington outfield will provide a new look in 2017. Will he help last year’s below average defense? I helped introduce MLBAM & Statcast’s new Catch Probability metric at RO Baseball on Friday. Take … Continue reading

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SABR Meeting in Rosslyn on February 4 — Still Time to Register!

Some of you who’ve been on TalkNats for a while may remember a few posts a year ago about the annual meeting of the local chapter of the Society of American Baseball Research (SABR). Several TN regulars attended and found … Continue reading

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The Barrel – A New Stat to Watch, Courtesy of Statcast and Tom Tango

Any Nats fan who has listened to Anthony “Tony Two Bags” Rendon talk about hitting knows what “barreling the ball up” means.  TTB talks about that as his goal in just about any situation – making solid contact with the … Continue reading

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A Fan’s Graph of Nationals WAR

Hello everyone! This is Tyler Babip (Tyler Babbie in real life), checking in with my first post for TalkNats. I am a graduate student, and this summer I got a fellowship to make some maps for a website using software … Continue reading

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What’s up with Ryan Zimmerman at the Plate

There has been a lot of discussion lately about what’s wrong with Ryan Zimmerman. Is he aging too quickly; is he hurt; and so on. The other day there was a debate about how he always takes the first pitch. In … Continue reading

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